Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.002532 0.002695 0.002870 0.003073 0.003303 0.003558 0.003865
2025-01-12 0.002224 0.002436 0.002676 0.002971 0.003331 0.003763 0.004335
2025-01-19 0.002059 0.002303 0.002590 0.002961 0.003440 0.004058 0.004955
2025-01-26 0.001854 0.002097 0.002390 0.002778 0.003298 0.003998 0.005076
2025-02-02 0.001778 0.002037 0.002359 0.002800 0.003415 0.004294 0.005765
2025-02-09 0.001739 0.002019 0.002375 0.002880 0.003618 0.004742 0.006820
2025-02-16 0.001680 0.001970 0.002345 0.002892 0.003720 0.005049 0.007738
2025-02-23 0.001659 0.001968 0.002376 0.002988 0.003960 0.005631 0.009464
2025-03-02 0.001595 0.001903 0.002316 0.002947 0.003973 0.005812 0.010390
2025-03-09 0.001528 0.001831 0.002240 0.002873 0.003923 0.005864 0.011020
2025-03-16 0.001506 0.001819 0.002248 0.002928 0.004097 0.006394 0.013410
2025-03-23 0.001483 0.001803 0.002250 0.002973 0.004258 0.006943 0.016529
2025-03-30 0.001430 0.001747 0.002193 0.002925 0.004255 0.007151 0.018801
2025-04-06 0.001370 0.001678 0.002113 0.002834 0.004163 0.007134 0.020095
2025-04-13 0.001335 0.001643 0.002084 0.002825 0.004229 0.007539 0.024860
2025-04-20 0.001262 0.001552 0.001965 0.002658 0.003961 0.006996 0.022182
2025-04-27 0.001241 0.001534 0.001957 0.002677 0.004075 0.007529 0.029389
2025-05-04 0.001234 0.001536 0.001979 0.002751 0.004312 0.008526 0.050563
2025-05-11 0.001213 0.001517 0.001966 0.002762 0.004415 0.009165 0.084742
2025-05-18 0.001210 0.001524 0.001996 0.002851 0.004710 0.010681 0.845816
2025-05-25 0.001181 0.001490 0.001958 0.002813 0.004699 0.010998 NaN
2025-06-01 0.001147 0.001449 0.001907 0.002746 0.004608 0.010939 NaN
2025-06-08 0.001139 0.001446 0.001917 0.002796 0.004820 0.012418 NaN